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Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Osaka analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Swiatek 2 - 1 Osaka

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.66% of points on their second serve, while Osaka has won 51.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Osaka has won 52.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.55% and 32.2% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 69.64% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Osaka has saved 60.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 89.66% of matches played (W/L 78/ 9), with Osaka winning 57.69% (W/L 15/ 11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 89% (W/L 132/ 17), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 203/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 57% (W/L 20/ 15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 91.67% of matches (W/L 44/ 4), where as Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 10/ 5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Swiatek winning 2 times and Osaka being victorious 1 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 4 and Osaka winning 3. The last match between Swiatek and Osaka was at the French Open - Paris, 29-05-2024, Second, Clay with Iga Swiatek getting the victory 7-6(1) 1-6 7-5.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:2:22.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Osaka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Swiatek winning 1 times and Osaka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 1, and Osaka 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 73.56 while Osaka has played against players with an average rank of 72.96.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Osaka has won 20% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 47.9% of breakpoint opportunities, and Osaka has converted 42.86% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Iga Swiatek

30

Total

11

Mast

3

Chall

5

Slam

7

Main

4

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

23

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

125

Rank

1

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Naomi Osaka

7

Total

2

Mast

0

Chall

4

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W W

Form

L W W W L W L W W L

82% (330-71)

Career Total W/L

64% (299-166)

92% (45-4)

YTD W/L

58% (15-11)

$26,143,556

Career Prize Money

$21,466,083

6

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Swiatek VS Osaka

Swiatek VS Osaka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Iga Swiatek Naomi Osaka
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 4 3
Games Won 37 34
Aces (Total) 7 24
DFs (Total) 9 9
Avg Match Time 2:2:22 2:2:22
1st Serve % 57% (134/237) 60% (147/244)
1st Serve Win% 66% (89/134) 73% (107/147)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (53/103) 39% (38/97)
BPs Won% (Total) 30% (9/30) 50% (8/16)
Return Points W% 41% (99/244) 40% (95/237)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)

Swiatek VS Osaka H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(1) 1-6 7-5
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 69 of 115)
1st Serve %
62% ( 67 of 108)
0
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
42% ( 48 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 42 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
114
6-4 6-0
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
54% ( 25 of 46)
1st Serve %
51% ( 31 of 61)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
3
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 20 of 31)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 10 of 30)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 31 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
43
7-6(4) 6-4
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Iga Swiatek
65% ( 49 of 75)
1st Serve %
53% ( 40 of 76)
9
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
5
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
42% ( 11 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
35% ( 26 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 34 of 76)
83
Total Points Won
68

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Iga Swiatek Naomi Osaka
YTD W/L 92% (45/4) 58% (15/11)
Sets Win/Loss 87% (92/14) 60% (34/23)
Games Win/Loss 66% (604/309) 54% (313/262)
Hard Win/Loss 88% (22/3) 54% (7/6)
Clay Win/Loss 95% (21/1) 56% (5/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (2/0) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Aces pg 0.15 0.69
Aces Total 67 196
DFs per game 0.16 0.24
DFs Total 69 69
Avg Match Time 1:36:8 1:37:52
Avg Opp Rank 67.35 72.96
1st Serve % 67% (1959/2931) 55% (983/1802)
1st Serve W% 69% (1361/1959) 75% (742/983)
2nd Serve W% 56% (541/972) 52% (423/819)
BPs Won% Total 48% (217/453) 43% (78/182)
Return Pts W% 50% (1514/3040) 40% (731/1831)
Slam W/L 90% (9/1) 33% (1/2)
Masters W/L 93% (27/2) 67% (10/5)
Cups W/L 100% (2/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 88% (7/1) 43% (3/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 92% (45/49) 58% (15/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 83% (5/6) 42% (5/12)
Deciding Set W% 75% (6/8) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 98% (43/42) 94% (16/15)
1st set W, L 2% (43/1) 6% (16/1)
1st set L, W 50% (6/3) 0% (10/0)

Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Jasmine Paolini
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
67% ( 31 of 46)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
69% ( 18 of 26)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 13 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
57
Total Points Won
31
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve %
51% ( 32 of 63)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 22 of 32)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marketa Vondrousova
67% ( 26 of 39)
1st Serve %
62% ( 31 of 50)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 10 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
58
Total Points Won
31
W
6-0 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Anastasia Potapova
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
39% ( 12 of 31)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
94% ( 15 of 16)
1st Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
82% ( 9 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
11% ( 3 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
48
Total Points Won
10
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marie Bouzkova
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
72% ( 42 of 58)
2
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 28 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 69 of 115)
1st Serve %
62% ( 67 of 108)
0
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
42% ( 48 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 42 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
114
W
7-6(1) 1-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Leolia Jeanjean
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve %
57% ( 26 of 46)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 21 of 27)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
100% ( 6 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 11 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
54
Total Points Won
29
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 40 of 83)
76
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 23 of 41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
62
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

Naomi Osaka Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Bianca Vanessa Andreescu
Player
Naomi Osaka
63% ( 59 of 94)
1st Serve %
64% ( 63 of 98)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
3
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 46 of 63)
46% ( 16 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 18 of 35)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
36% ( 34 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 34 of 98)
94
Total Points Won
98
L
6-4 3-6 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Suzan Lamens
39% ( 17 of 44)
1st Serve %
76% ( 32 of 42)
9
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 15 of 17)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
54
Total Points Won
32
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elise Mertens
57% ( 31 of 54)
1st Serve %
54% ( 26 of 48)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 69 of 115)
1st Serve %
62% ( 67 of 108)
0
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
42% ( 48 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 42 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
114
L
7-6(1) 1-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
52% ( 47 of 90)
1st Serve %
74% ( 63 of 85)
6
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 39 of 63)
56% ( 24 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
36% ( 32 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
93
Total Points Won
82
W
6-1 4-6 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Qinwen Zheng
Player
Naomi Osaka
48% ( 23 of 48)
1st Serve %
50% ( 28 of 56)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
78% ( 18 of 23)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 19 of 28)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 56)
58
Total Points Won
46
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
53% ( 33 of 62)
1st Serve %
69% ( 40 of 58)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 25 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
67
Total Points Won
53
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Marta Kostyuk
45% ( 20 of 44)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
7
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 33 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Clara Burel
56% ( 34 of 61)
1st Serve %
48% ( 31 of 65)
8
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 19 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 30 of 65)
72
Total Points Won
54
W
7-6(2) 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Naomi Osaka
53% ( 48 of 90)
1st Serve %
55% ( 52 of 95)
4
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
5
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 14 of 43)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
37% ( 33 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 95)
102
Total Points Won
83
L
6-2 4-6 7-5 H2H

Swiatek Vs Osaka Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Swiatek are available here and Osaka photos here.


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